The inevitable is starting to happen. Moody’s has cut the rating of France to Aa3, due to poilitical instability and their inability to control the budget deficit, expected to be at 6.3% of GDP for 2025 and a total debt to GDP ratio expected to increase to 120% of GDP over the next 2 years. What can we expect then if we ask Moodys to do the same exercise with a country that presents 7% budget deficit over GDP today and 123% debt to gdp ratio? We should expect to obtain similar results and similar ratings. And yet, if that country is the U.S., we will find that currently it has a Aaa rating, or 3 notches above France. How long can the U.S. preserve the top rating, with clear worse metrics despite being the biggest economy in the world? What will happen to the cost of debt if on top of the deficit, the U.S. suffers a downgrade? Is that the tipping point?
Want to know more? join Fund@mental here https://www.myfundamental.net
#iamfundamental #soyfundamental #wealthmanagement #familyoffice #financialadvisor #financialplanning
Comments