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control884

Dec 23, 20231 min read

Deflating the U.S. economy

The Personal Consumer Expenditures (PCE) was published yesterday for the U.S. economy. This is the Fed’s preferred measure of inflation....

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control884

Dec 22, 20231 min read

The big question

As we cross the finish line for the year, big banks and Asset Managers will start to publish their outlooks and views for the new year....

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control884

Dec 21, 20231 min read

The key for 2024

One of the most important metrics for 2024, if not the most important, is going to be the unemployment rate. In the U.S., even after the...

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control884

Dec 20, 20231 min read

Expectations and positioning

The jury is out with expectations for the U.S. economy for 2024. In the chart below, you can find the results of a survey conducted by...

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control884

Dec 19, 20231 min read

The eternal debate

Since Jim Bogle created the first index fund in 1976, there has been a debate on wether active management should be the integral part of...

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control884

Dec 18, 20231 min read

Dry powder

2023 has been an excellent year for equity markets and risk assets in general. But due to uncertainty and fear on the US banking system...

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control884

Dec 17, 20231 min read

Dancing their way out

As the conclusions of the last #fomc meeting sink in, the market is already adjusting to the new information provided. The Fed dots, the...

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control884

Dec 16, 20231 min read

Complacency

It seems that both Fixed Income and Equity markets have entered a complacency zone, fueled by J Powell dovish comments for 2024. The VIX,...

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control884

Dec 15, 20231 min read

Normalization

After the Fed decision on Wednesday, yesterday it was time for the ECB. As expected, rates in Europe had no change at 4% for the Depoait...

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control884

Dec 14, 20231 min read

Embracing the slowdown

A slowing economy, a slightly higher unemployment and 3 rate cuts for 2024. That’s the bottom line after the last FOMC meeting of the...

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control884

Dec 13, 20231 min read

Diverging expectations

The last important data point prior to the last FOMC meeting was published yesterday. US CPI for the month of November grew 3.1% YOY...

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control884

Dec 12, 20231 min read

Last FOMC of the year

The last FOMC meeting of the year starts today. By 2 pm tomorrow we’ll know what the official rates will be for the rest of the year and...

18 views0 comments

control884

Dec 11, 20231 min read

China’s healing process

#china published its latest #cpi report over the weekend. It is offically deflating its economy, after a contraction in prices of 0.5% in...

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control884

Dec 10, 20231 min read

Turning points

There hard economic indicators and soft economic indicators. Hard indicators reflect calculated data, where soft are typically surveys or...

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control884

Dec 9, 20231 min read

Goldilocks economy

The latest unemployment number was published yesterday. Consensus pointed to a flat number at 3.9% but the data was better than expected...

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control884

Dec 8, 20231 min read

Productivity dilemma

The world has a debt problem. The U.S., China and Japan among the big economies have debt to gdp ratios that are worrisome. And in the...

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control884

Dec 7, 20231 min read

Lending recession

Banks continue to go through a tough patch. Their balance sheets are in the process of cleaning up the low yielding producing assets they...

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control884

Dec 6, 20231 min read

Cyclical nature

Next Wednesday the Fed will conclude the last FOMC of the year. The scorecard for the year is good: No recession, full employment, equity...

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control884

Dec 5, 20231 min read

Seasonality around rate cuts

Markets tend to be efficient and incorporate all information in the price, which allows investors to correct most seasonallties through...

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control884

Dec 4, 20231 min read

Treasury debt dynamic

The composition of U.S. treasury bonds buyers have changed. This is particularly important in the context of a big fiscal deficit such as...

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Connect, Aggregate and Analyze

Simple by design. Powerful by necessity. Access our Insights with the click of a button

Get In Touch

Connect, Aggregate
and Analyze

Simple by design.
Powerful by necessity.
Access our Insights with
the click of a button